edscienceОбразование и наукаThe Education and science journal1994-56392310-5828RSVPU10.17853/1994-5639-2022-8-116-137edscience-2892Research ArticleЭКОНОМИКА ОБРАЗОВАНИЯECONOMICS OF EDUCATIONРасширение масштабов третичного образования в мире и положение молодежи на рынке трудаGlobal expansion of tertiary education and the position of young people in the labour markethttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-5403-6875АграновичМ. Л.AgranovichM. L.

Агранович Марк Львович – кандидат экономических наук, директор НИЦ Мониторинга и статистики образования

Scopus Author ID 6602566231

ResearcherID AAS-2010-2021

Москва

Mark L. Agranovich – Cand. Sci. (Economics). Head of Research Center for Education Monitoring and Statistics

Scopus Aurhor ID 6602566231

ResearcherID AAS-2010-2021

Moscow

agranovich-ml@ranepa.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-3880-5202ДренёваА. А.DrenevaA. A.

Дренёва Анна Александровна – кандидат психологических наук, научный сотрудник НИЦ Мониторинга и статистики образования

Scopus Author ID 57204860455

ResearcherID A-5950-2018

Москва

Anna A. Dreneva – Cand. Sci. (Psychology). Researcher of Research Center for Education Monitoring and Statistics

Scopus ID 57204860455

ResearcherID A-5950-2018

Moscow

dreneva-aa@ranepa.ruРоссийская академия народного хозяйства и государственной службы при Президенте Российской Федерации, Федеральный институт развития образованияRussian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Federal Institute for Educational Development202228092022248116137Copyright © Агранович М.Л., Дренёва А.А., 20222022Агранович М.Л., Дренёва А.А.Agranovich M.L., Dreneva A.A.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://www.edscience.ru/jour/article/view/2892

Введение. Взрывной рост масштабов третичного образования в мире заставляет обратить внимание на то, как это влияет на трудоустройство молодых выпускников.

Целью статьи является анализ того, как рост участия молодых людей в третичном образовании отражается на динамике показателей их занятости и экономической активности.

Методология, методы и методики. В статье с помощью сравнительного и корреляционного анализа рассматриваются связи изменения уровня образования молодых людей и динамики показателей занятости и экономической активности по уровням образования. В статье рассматриваются данные образовательной статистики стран ОЭСР, России и некоторых других стран, участвующих в образовательных исследованиях ОЭСР.

Результаты анализа, представленные в статье, показывают, что рост масштабов третичного образования приводит к повышению уровня безработицы среди молодого населения, однако это справедливо только для наименее продвинутых программ, в то время как для выпускников магистратуры наблюдается рост уровня занятости. Экономическая активность среди молодых магистров после кризиса 2009 года также росла быстрее, чем среди выпускников других программ третичного образования. Выпускники магистратуры оказались в лучшем положении и в период кризиса 2020 года, вызванного пандемией COVID-19.

Научная новизна исследования заключается в детальном анализе роста масштабов третичного образования и динамики показателей статуса на рынке труда выпускников различных программ третичного образования.

Практическая значимость исследования заключается в формировании информационно-аналитической основы для корректировки дальнейшей политики в сфере развития третичного образования исходя с целью повышения занятости молодежи.

Introduction

Introduction. The explosive growth of tertiary education around the world calls attention to how this affects the employment of young graduates.

Aim

Aim. The current research paper is aimed to analyse how the growth of young people’s participation in tertiary education is reflected in the change of their employment and economic activity.

Methodology and research methods. The comparative and correlation analysis was used to examine the relationship between changes in the education attainment of young people and the dynamics of employment and economic activity indicators by levels of education. The article deals with educational statistics data from OECD countries, Russia and some other countries participating in OECD educational research.

Results

Results. The results of the analysis presented in the article show that the growth of tertiary education leads to an increase in the unemployment rate among the young population; however, this is true only for the least advanced programmes, while there is an increase in the employment rate for master’s degree graduates. Economic activity among young graduates with a master’s degree grew faster after the 2009 crisis than among graduates of other tertiary education programmes. Master’s degree graduates were in a better position during the crisis of 2020 caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.

Scientific novelty

Scientific novelty. The authors presented a detailed analysis of the growth in the scale of tertiary education and the changes of status in the labour market indicators of graduates of different tertiary education programmes.

Practical significance of the study lies in the development of the information and analytical basis for adjusting further policy in the field of development of tertiary education based on the goal of increasing youth employment.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.